The Desk

A RM40 modeled CAC clears the RM150m 5G growth screen

Find a modeled option that adds at least 1 million active 5G relationships within 24 months while keeping modeled launch spend below RM150 million by 31…

Axiata’s direct ownership link is to CelcomDigi, while Maxis is connected through shared participation in Digital Nasional Berhad. In the 24-month modeled launch option, reducing…

Full framing

Find a modeled option that adds at least 1 million active 5G relationships within 24 months while keeping modeled launch spend below RM150 million by 31 December 2028.

Axiata’s direct ownership link is to CelcomDigi, while Maxis is connected through shared participation in Digital Nasional Berhad. In the 24-month modeled launch option, reducing CAC to RM40 keeps 3.19 million active relationships within the RM150 million screen.

SourceModel

Public-news source spine

The public record behind the subject

  1. Axiata announced that Axiata and Telenor each held 33.1% of CelcomDigi after the merger. axiata.com · open source →
  2. Maxis described its DNB access agreement process. maxis.com.my · open source →
  3. Maxis described its position in Malaysia’s DNB-led 5G network process. maxis.com.my · open source →

Instrument evidence

One exact state for each modeled layer

Chapter 1 · cidx

The weighted comparison resolves to 0.774, with a narrow modeled spread

Maxis and Axiata-linked CelcomDigi weighted decision proxy
Result

The exact Q1 2026 CIDX state recomputes a weighted cross-entity mean of 0.774 from five analyst-authored decision inputs. Maxis scores 0.754 and Axiata-linked CelcomDigi 0.793, a…

Boundary The comparison is directional rather than a verdict: the two options sit close together, and the permitted weighting…
Full evidence-bounded interpretation

The exact Q1 2026 CIDX state recomputes a weighted cross-entity mean of 0.774 from five analyst-authored decision inputs. Maxis scores 0.754 and Axiata-linked CelcomDigi 0.793, a modeled spread of 0.039. These are transparent scenario inputs—not operator telemetry or an observed performance ranking.

Question this layer answers How does the broad comparison frame the decision before a deeper model is trusted?
Decision relevance

The comparison is directional rather than a verdict: the two options sit close together, and the permitted weighting range moves the headline from 0.730 to 0.790. That makes the assumptions and sensitivity more important than the third decimal place.

What you can try next

Open the analyzed state, move any weight slider, and watch both entity scores and the headline recompute. The information control beside Weights shows the generic formulas and each entity’s attainable range; a material change should return as a new scene.

Where the study goes next

With the comparison framed and its sensitivity visible, the next chapter asks whether the modeled system can sustain the same direction over time.

Open live analyzed state →

Chapter 2 · comdyn

The growth direction survives only as a weak system proxy

Modeled 104-week active-5G relationship flow
Result

The registered ComDyn state carries the comparison into a 104-week compartment flow and contrasts the no-action path with staged intervention markers. It is a weak…

Boundary The trajectory keeps a large active-5G relationship outcome mathematically plausible, but the modeled marker effects…
Full evidence-bounded interpretation

The registered ComDyn state carries the comparison into a 104-week compartment flow and contrasts the no-action path with staged intervention markers. It is a weak subscriber-flow proxy rather than operator telemetry, a company forecast, or evidence of deployed behavior.

Question this layer answers Does the system-level trajectory remain plausible across the 24-month decision horizon?
Decision relevance

The trajectory keeps a large active-5G relationship outcome mathematically plausible, but the modeled marker effects are not strong enough to establish a commercial choice. The decision therefore remains projected and must be tested against product-level economics.

What you can try next

Open the live model to inspect compartments, transition timing, and marker assumptions. Change a transition only as a hypothesis, then rerun and register the adjusted state before using it as evidence.

Where the study goes next

With the time path bounded, the next chapter tests the original product plan that would have to deliver it.

Open live analyzed state →

Chapter 3 · product-launch-sim

The first product option clears growth but breaks the cost screen

Original high-cost Product Launch Sim option
Result

The exact Product Launch Sim state clears the modeled relationship threshold but reaches RM392.419 million in modeled launch spend by week 104. That figure is a simulator output…

Boundary The original option is not usable under the RM150 million screen. It establishes the commercial benchmark and isolates…
Full evidence-bounded interpretation

The exact Product Launch Sim state clears the modeled relationship threshold but reaches RM392.419 million in modeled launch spend by week 104. That figure is a simulator output under the registered product and lever assumptions, not committed funding or a company forecast.

Question this layer answers What does the original product configuration cost and deliver before any reader adjustment?
Decision relevance

The original option is not usable under the RM150 million screen. It establishes the commercial benchmark and isolates acquisition cost as the parameter that the reader-adjusted option must change without losing the modeled relationship outcome.

What you can try next

Open the live product state to inspect product economics, launch timing, portfolio choices, and design levers. Any material edit must return through a fresh engine run and a new registered scene.

Where the study goes next

That establishes the high-cost benchmark. The next chapter tests the reader's RM40 CAC adjustment against the same modeled outcome.

Open live analyzed state →
RM392.419m Original modeled launch spend

Chapter 4 · product-launch-sim

RM40 CAC clears the screen, with thin modeled headroom

Reader-adjusted Product Launch Sim option
Result

After CAC was lowered from RM120 to RM40, the engine reran the exact adjusted state. Week-104 modeled active relationships remained 3,188,157; modeled cumulative CAC became…

Boundary The adjusted option clears the RM150 million screen by RM7.194 million, but that margin is thin and all figures remain…
Full evidence-bounded interpretation

After CAC was lowered from RM120 to RM40, the engine reran the exact adjusted state. Week-104 modeled active relationships remained 3,188,157; modeled cumulative CAC became RM124.806 million and, with RM18 million modeled build cost, total modeled launch spend became RM142.806 million.

Question this layer answers Does the reader-adjusted product configuration improve the original cost benchmark without losing the modeled outcome?
Decision relevance

The adjusted option clears the RM150 million screen by RM7.194 million, but that margin is thin and all figures remain planning proxies. CAC, channel capacity, referral costs, and DNB commercial terms still require current operator validation before any live budget or launch decision.

What you can try next

Open the exact adjusted state to inspect the RM40 product economics and the levers that preserve the relationship trajectory. Return any further adjustment for a fresh run, comparison scene, and superseding conclusion.

Where the study goes next

With one modeled option inside the screen and its limits explicit, the article now hands the approved parameter change to the exact governed DOIL operations contract below—not to execution.

Open live analyzed state →
3,188,157 Adjusted modeled active relationships at week 104
RM142.806m Adjusted modeled total launch spend
RM7.194m Headroom below modeled spend cap

Required evidence gap · Incident Sim

No verified Incident Sim scene is present

Result

This Gate-A faculty has no snapshot bound to the published Study.

Boundary

The finding cannot claim visual evidence from this required layer.

Next

Register and verify the exact Incident Sim state, then publish a revised Study.

Required evidence gap · Press

No verified Press scene is present

Result

This Gate-A faculty has no snapshot bound to the published Study.

Boundary

The finding cannot claim visual evidence from this required layer.

Next

Register and verify the exact Press state, then publish a revised Study.

Claim-bound findings What the evidence supports—and how strongly 2 bound claims
  1. supported

    Axiata directly owns 33.1% of CelcomDigi; Maxis and Axiata-linked CelcomDigi are connected through separate participation in Digital Nasional Berhad, and the examined public…

    Full claim wording

    Axiata directly owns 33.1% of CelcomDigi; Maxis and Axiata-linked CelcomDigi are connected through separate participation in Digital Nasional Berhad, and the examined public record did not show direct Maxis–Axiata ownership.

  2. projected

    After the reader lowered modeled CAC from RM120 to RM40 and the engine reran the exact adjusted state, week-104 modeled active relationships remained 3,188,157 while cumulative…

    Full claim wording

    After the reader lowered modeled CAC from RM120 to RM40 and the engine reran the exact adjusted state, week-104 modeled active relationships remained 3,188,157 while cumulative modeled CAC fell to RM124.806 million; with RM18 million modeled build cost, total modeled launch cost is RM142.806 million, RM7.194 million below the RM150 million cap.

33.1%
Axiata ownership of CelcomDigi

Handoff to network / automation

Continue from analysis into governed implementation

Bounded operational handoff · DOIL

Apply the approved RM40-per-relationship acquisition-cost parameter to the governed DarkNOC product configuration resource pl_postpaid_5g,…

Not run or deployed
DOIL Studio view of Apply the approved RM40-per-relationship acquisition-cost parameter to the governed DarkNOC product configuration resource pl_postpaid_5g,…

Apply the approved RM40 CAC parameter to the Malaysia 5G product configuration

NOC agent · RPA · Runbook · Workflow · Agentic system One-time run
Open exact contract in DOIL Studio →
Review scope, controls and rollback 8/8 required structural checks passed

Full bounded objective

Apply the approved RM40-per-relationship acquisition-cost parameter to the governed DarkNOC product configuration resource pl_postpaid_5g, preserve every non-target field, verify the effective value and exact allowed diff, and restore the captured prior version if any postcondition fails.

Authority boundary

This is a reviewable instruction set only. Publication grants no target, execution or deployment authority; the receiving NOC validates current state before any implementation.

Limits carried forward

  • This is DOIL-authored local review material. Desk coordinates and renders it but does not infer language semantics from compiler internals.
  • The single .doil file is the sole portable operations contract. This projection, its package, IR, and receipts are derived review material and are not required by the receiver.
  • The pinned contract-test clock is validation evidence, not the current time. A receiver must re-evaluate expiry and all time-sensitive preconditions at consumption.
  • Exact source, fixtures, lineage, and deterministic observations are review evidence only; they do not certify semantic correctness or prove untested paths.
  • No human approval, target authority, target generation, deployment, scheduling, network call, or external effect is performed by this handoff.
  • A target-side generator must recompile the exact workspace with a supported DOIL verifier and preserve every approved requirement, guardrail, bound, approval, observation, recovery, and output.
  • The reference preview completed as a zero-record structural preview; it contains no action or scenario evidence.
  • This package preserves intent and structural proofs only; no target has certified it.
  • Approval declarations are preserved as intent; this tool does not grant human authority.
  • Future targets are portability labels only; no target-specific generator or adapter ran.
  • The content-addressed Studio state becomes replayable after Desk persists the included StateDoc.
Exact structural evidence

The score and level measure source-structure declaration coverage for the selected profile only. A production-shaped level is not post-investigation Desk handoff eligibility, semantic validation, human approval, certification, live-network validation, target readiness, deployment authority, or execution authority.

Source checks

  • Clean parse · No parser diagnostics
  • Top-level definition · Agent, class, or pipeline definition exists
  • Purpose text · Intent or description is declared
  • Context hydration · Runtime context requirements and sources are explicit
  • Data sources · Data inputs are named; intentionally not applicable to this strict contract
  • Tool surface · Allowed actions are declared
  • Triggers · Activation paths are declared; intentionally not applicable to this strict contract
  • Runnable methods · Handlers or methods are defined
  • Guardrails · Pre, during, or post execution controls are declared
  • Lifecycle · Timeout, health, or restart policy is declared; intentionally not applicable to this strict contract
  • Observability · Logs, metrics, alerts, or reports are declared; intentionally not applicable to this strict contract
  • Recovery · Retry, escalation, or dead-letter policy is declared; intentionally not applicable to this strict contract
  • Output/promotion · Generated plans and approval stages are declared

Handoff checks

  • Strict Operations Contract Complete · The sole .doil file declares every strict operations-contract facet; all other views are derived.
  • Parse Clean · Every workspace file parsed without diagnostics.
  • Brief Complete · A title and objective are required to preserve the human intent.
  • Approved Intent Textually Bound · Every approved requirement is bound exactly once to its full text in the DOIL source for human semantic review.
  • Scenario Coverage Ready · No source-owned scenario fixtures were declared or run; structural readiness makes no scenario-coverage claim.
  • Target Kind Requested · At least one future portability target must be selected; no target artifact is generated here.
  • Tool Effects Explicit · Every declared tool states its backend-neutral effect as read, propose, or external_change.
  • Post Investigation Operational Remedy · The selected entrypoint reaches an explicit external_change request: Desk investigation is upstream, while this handoff specifies the approved operational remedy.
  • Launch Selector Unambiguous · The explicit handler or trigger resolves to one entrypoint.
  • Entrypoint Resolved · Reference preview resolved apply_approved_cac_remedy.
  • Reference Preview Completed · The deterministic reference preview completed without granting authority or producing external effects.
  • Execution Mode Matches Source · Execution mode agrees with the selected source entrypoint.
  • Repeatable Mode Bounded · Execution intent is one-shot or carries an explicit maxCycles/expiresAt bound.
  • Expiry After Contract Test Clock · Any declared expiry is later than the fixed source-owned contract-test clock; current-time validity is not assessed.
  • Clock Pinned · The reference preview uses the source-owned fixed contract-test clock and contains no current-time or wall-clock claim.
Contract c29b344c…3ca4ba Verification 60506289…592918 Download exact .doil

Executive readout

Decision summary

Supported finding

  • The public record connects Maxis and Axiata-linked CelcomDigi through separate participation in Digital Nasional Berhad, not through direct Maxis–Axiata ownership.

Decision boundary

  • The RM40 CAC option clears the modeled RM150 million screen, but the result is a planning proxy—not operator telemetry, funding approval, or a company forecast—and RM7.194…
Review 1 full note
  • The RM40 CAC option clears the modeled RM150 million screen, but the result is a planning proxy—not operator telemetry, funding approval, or a company forecast—and RM7.194 million of modeled headroom is thin.

Question to resolve

  • Validate CAC, channel capacity, referral costs, and DNB commercial terms with current operator data before any live budget or launch decision.
How this was governed

88% autonomous · 8 human checkpoints (gate_a & gate_b & published & gate_b & gate_b & published & gate_b & gate_b)

Verification

  • Supported claims1
  • Projected1
  • Illustrative0

Evidence

  • Cited (source)3
  • Modeled5
  • Observational0

Observation sources

  • web publishable allowed
  • web publishable allowed
Published Aug 4, 2026 · started Aug 4, 2026